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forumposter123@protonmail.com's avatar

Caplan has a weird relationship with his genetic predictions.

I think he's basically trying to tell UMC liberals to chill out and have one more kid, and he chooses a message that he thinks will resonate. If you press him beyond that he changes his reasoning and conclusions. He also doesn't live his own life like it's true (he homeschools, is very involved in his kids lives, and travels the world with them).

I even found out recently that his parenting method is less free range and more "we have a lot of money and hired a lot of nannies."

Your point about "common sense for who" is important. Common sense for normies and common sense for UMC liberals are different things.

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Silas Abrahamsen's avatar

I agree that we should use common sense (depending on what you mean with "common sense") to do morality. But the place I'll disagree with you (I think) is that doing so won't manifest in making the "common sense judgement" in every particular case. The reason is that all our common sense judgements cannot all be right at the same time. This is because common sense is not just limited to judgements about particular scenarios, but also judgements about more general constraints on our principles, as well as what the things are that matter when we make particular judgements. As an example, I think transitivity of the better-than relation is very common sense--in fact much more common sense than most judgements about particular cases.

Sticking with what at first seems to be the common sense judgement about a particular scenario will often involve rejecting much more plausible general principles, and so ultimately be less common sense overall. So I think it's a mistake to say that positions, like accepting the repugnant conclusion or that human progress over the last 150 years might very well have been negative all in all, are not common sense. I think that rejecting these positions will require moves that go much more contrary to common sense than accepting them.

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