DON'T Save the Drowning Child!
Peter Singer's conclusion does not follow from Utilitarian premises
If you’re not familiar with Peter Singer’s powerful “Drowning Child” argument, this post won’t make sense to you, so watch this video first.
There are charities that treat and prevent AIDS in Africa. Some people think this is a morally good thing. I don’t.
Suppose that you go to a bar and you meet a guy named Chett. After chatting for a minute, Chett demands that you give him gas money. You see, Chett explains, Chett is about to go hook up with a woman he’s just met on tinder but the woman lives a few miles away and Chett only has a small amount of gas in his motorcycle. He tells you that there are two routes he can take:
Risky Road is short and he won’t need any more gas, but the road has not been maintained and it is dangerous.
Safe Route is safe, but it’s a long 9 mile loop and Chett doesn’t have that much gas.
Chett tells you that you should give him $10 to buy more gas. $10 isn’t very much money to you, but if you give it to Chett he will be able to buy gas so he can take Safe Route instead of Risky Road. You could save a life!
Do you think you are morally obligated to give Chett $10? I don’t. Not only are you not morally obligated to give Chett $10, it is not even a morally good action to give Chett $10.
Now let’s consider the situation with charities for AIDS in Africa. AIDS is a sexually transmitted disease. The vast majority of AIDS patients chose to risk death because they wanted to have sex, like Chett driving his motorcycle on Risky Road. The fact that Africans are far away and Chett is close does not make Africans more deserving of our help. The fact that Africans are black and Chett is white does not make Chett less morally deserving of our help. Since there are no morally significant differences between the case of Chett and the case of an African adult with AIDS, we should conclude that it is not morally obligatory to donate money to a charity that helps African adults with AIDS. If you share my intuition that it is not even a morally good action to give money to Chett, you should conclude that donating money to AIDS charities is not even a morally good action.
Here’s another thought experiment. Suppose that you are in an airplane that crashes on a desert island. You and 100 other passengers survive. In the center of the island there is a whirlpool which can suck people down to their death. If you fall into the whirlpool, it is possible for a person on the edge of the pool to pull you out, but there is a very small chance that they also will be sucked in. You and 99 other people decide that if any of you ever see someone stuck in the whirlpool, you will pull them out. One person, named Steven, says loudly and publicly that he would not save anyone from the whirlpool. He says that anyone who would help someone in the whirlpool is a “sucker.” One day you see that Steven has fallen into the whirlpool and he is about to drown. Do you have a moral obligation to save him?
The thought experiments about Chett and Steven illustrate circumstances in which it is plausible that it is not morally obligatory - and indeed not even morally praiseworthy - to save a person’s life. In the case of Chett, he chose to put himself in danger. You’re not obligated to pay for Chett’s gas anymore than you’re obligated to pay for his beer or his motorcycle. While it is true that there is a tradeoff between Chett’s gas budget and his risk of death, the same could be said of many other decisions. When purchasing a house there is a tradeoff between risk and expenditure; houses in safer neighborhoods cost more. Taking a vacation to a developing country involves a small risk. Driving in a car or flying in an airplane involves a small risk. Since people make risk/reward tradeoffs all the time, the act of donating money to someone to decrease their risk of death should not be seen as categorically different from the act of donating money to that person to spend on anything else. If you’re not morally obligated to give money to Chett to spend on beer or motorcycles, you’re not morally obligated to give money to Chett (or anyone else) to spend on risk reduction.
In the case of the whirlpool on the desert island, Steven would not save you if the roles were reversed, so it is plausible that it is not obligatory - and not even supererogatory - to save Steven, especially if saving Steven involves any significant risk or cost to yourself.
Now let’s look at a third case in which it might not be obligatory or even supererogatory to save a person’s life. Suppose that in the 1760s James Watt had to choose between spending 100 hours working on his improved steam engine, or spending 100 hours donating to and caring for poor orphans on the streets of Birmingham. Working on the steam engine is clearly the better option when judged on long-term results. As harsh as it is to say, the result of caring for Dickensian orphans is a few moments of comfort for those orphans while Watt’s steam engine played a key role in the Industrial Revolution which has produced unprecedented prosperity for billions of people.
The vast majority of cases in which Effective Altruists claim that we can save lives for low cost (e.g. mosquito bed nets) resemble James Watt’s choice between helping starving orphans or improving the steam engine. You could spend $5000 to replace your suit today, or you could take that $5000 and build a business which will eventually produce enough wealth to permanently support hundreds of people. Instead of building a business, many people would choose to spend an extra $5000 as a partial down payment on a house in which to build their family. But building a family is also an investment of sorts. If you are reading this essay and engaging with Singer’s argument at all, if you even consider making large donations to save drowning children on the other side of the world, you are already in the top 1% most altruistic people on Earth. If you spend hundreds of thousands of dollars to have children of your own - rather than spend the money to save dozens of someone else’s children -your children will be very likely to be in the top few percentiles of altruism because they will inherit both your genes and your cultural norms. In the long run, producing a few well-raised high-IQ, highly altruistic children will be the most effectively altruistic thing you can do.
If instead you spend your money and effort to save Bangladeshi children from drowning, you will not create any new effective altruists. Universalism is a Western idea and Bangladeshis do not share it. In fact, substantial proportions of the third world not only reject the idea that they should reciprocate our acts of kindness, they actively seek to attack and destroy us. 26% of Bangladeshis say that attacks against civilians in the name of Islam can sometimes or often be justified. Among Muslims worldwide there is double-digit support for enforcing the death penalty for apostasy. A hard-headed cost-benefit analysis of a measure to save lives in a Muslim country needs to account for the possibility that an increase in the population of that country could make it more difficult for the West and its Effective Altruists to operate. Most Effective Altruists are blind the the realities of tribal conflict. An increase in the relative power of the West would likely lead to a more peaceful world with more people willing to donate to charity. An increase in the relative power of Islam would likely lead to more war, more terrorism, and less charity.
In short, celebrated EA tactics such as mosquito nets and cash transfers to extremely poor people are not actually very effective. The recipients of the money would not reciprocate, so the money tends to reproduce both genes and cultures which are not interested in reciprocating acts of charity. By contrast, doing the normal work of civilization: having families, building businesses, strengthening your own tribe, etc. will produce a large community of highly capable and highly altruistic people who will be able to achieve almost anything.
Does this mean that we should not care about the vulnerable and weak? Should we adopt the attitude of the “Nietzcheans” and “Vitalists” who think that “might makes right”? No, we certainly should not. We should have compassion for the vulnerable and weak. We should hope that some miracle will allow them to survive and thrive. We wish that we had the resources to save everyone. But we don’t have sufficient resources.
When the “Vitalist” sees the Amhara massacre the Tigrayans, he thinks “Not my tribe, not my problem” or even “that’s nature taking its course, the whole world is struggle.” That vitalist attitude is barbaric. Massacres of innocent people are not somehow justified because they are “natural.” Even though we will spend our own resources on our own people, not on the Tigrayans, we should treat the news of any massacre of innocents with solemnity. We should mourn the passing of their souls.
Yes, I am saying that you should decline to give assistance to the Tigrayans, and the drowning Bangladeshi children, and many other unfortunate people throughout the world, but this is not a call for callousness. It is the recognition that we are not universalistic gods who can fine tune the whole world. We are particular human beings with our own lives to live, our own quests to fulfill. Our task is to nurture the light of civilization in our little corner of the world, and that requires that we put our own family and friends first.
So if you’re wearing your expensive suit and you encounter the child drowning in the shallow pond, should you leave him to drown? I think not. If you are ever in the extraordinarily unlikely situation in which you are wearing a $5000 suit and you come across a pond in which a Haitian child is drowning, you should save the child - but not because the value of saving the Haitian child’s life exceeds $5,000 - you should save the child because to not do so would brutalize your own heart. It is bad for your soul to let a child drown in front of you for the same reason that it is bad for your soul to watch snuff films. Contra Singer, failing to intervene when a child is drowning right in front of you really is different from failing to intervene when a child is drowning on the other side of the Earth.
We should busy ourselves with the work of civilization. We should build up strong families and communities. We should build up wealth and technological power. We should strengthen the factions of Good and fight against the factions of Evil. This is our task.
There's some good points here, but two important errors:
- the AIDS example is kinda bad. Most EA global health initiatives are for malaria or deworming, which aren't easily avoided by just making smart decisions.
- the investment argument is also kinda shaky. Partly because it's unclear donated money displaces investment (it can also displace trivial marginal consumption), and partly because most investments aren't comparable to the steam engine (the median invested dollar is fairly useless). And otoh there's an argument that in terms of net economic growth investing in removing plagues and global health hazards is actually pretty good, it's just not solved by markets since the value created is hard to capture. But in the long term "a world where you can go to Africa without worrying about parasites and malaria" is better for me even for selfish reasons (both for me and because international companies can get more value out of it).
I really don't think any of these cases are near equivalent but lmk why you think I'm wrong. '
1) In the first case, Chett is being extremely irresponsible, and I think incentivizing this behavior is making our intuitions go astray. This case is also different because it's not actually death but risk of death (I understand that one can deal with probabilities and EV but that's not what the initial case is). In regards to the AIDS case, these are not at all similar. First, GiveWell (the place where most EAs give charity towards global health and development) does not recommend charities for AIDS, and there is no notion of responsibility in the charities on GiveWell's list (https://www.givewell.org/charities/top-charities). Second, the extents of responsibility here seem very far off -- there is a very low chance you get AIDS from sex and Chett is literally just making a dumb decision because he wants money. Also, it seems like you're calling for people in Africa just not to have sex?
2) This case of also seems misguided. Singer's case doesn't tell you to risk your life. I also think that the fact that he wouldn't save you is not be a good reason to not save someone.
3) On the third point, Watt didn't know how much good the steam engine would do and this would largely be a question about uncertainty. Do you not think it makes sense to sacrifice people now for a lot more people in the future? I'm not even sure I understand where your divergent moral intuitions are coming from.
4) I agree that there is a hard task of deciding to make more EAs or do charity, but the answer is certainly not gonna be only one as the smart move is to hedge against multiple cause areas that all have some probability of resulting in great consequences.
Also, unlike your description states, you did not show why Singer's conclusion do not follow from utilitarian premises. You claimed (I think with some errors) to show that utilitarianism doesn't do a good job of accounting for all the moral facts (i.e. giving dessert to bad people, universalizability, the counter-intuitiveness of longtermism, etc). While I think all these critiques of utilitarianism are worth taking very seriously, I'm not sure you showed what you attempted to show.